Daniel O'Connor

Last Thursday, the President Obama signed an Executive Order requiring that “the default state of new and modernized Government information resources shall be open and machine readable.”  In a memo elaborating on the President’s order, the Office of Management and Budget (OMB) advised federal agencies and executive departments:

Specifically, this Memorandum requires agencies to collect or create information in a way that supports downstream information processing and dissemination activities. This includes using machine­ readable and open formats, data standards, and common core and extensible metadata for all new information creation and collection efforts. It also includes agencies ensuring information stewardship through the use of open licenses and review of information for privacy, confidentiality, security, or other restrictions to release. Additionally, it involves agencies building or modernizing information systems in a way that maximizes interoperability and information accessibility, maintains internal and external data asset inventories, enhances information safeguards, and clarifies information management responsibilities.

This step by the Obama Administration goes beyond the Open Government Directive of the President’s first term, that focused on the release specific datasets.  Now, CIOs of government agencies must consider public accessibility and use of government data from square one.  This sets a new default position of U.S. government data: open, machine readable and accessible to to public (with a key exception: “wherever possible and legally permissible”).

Collecting and storing a wealth of government data in both human and machine readable formats, with attention paid to ease of use and interoperability with common software tools has the potential to change how the federal government operates and promises to make available a wave of new, useful data for our nation’s entrepreneurs and programmers to manipulate and make more useful.  As U.S. Chief Technology Officer Todd Park and Chief Information Officer Steven VanRoekel point out in a video accompanying the President’s announcement, releasing government information in the past — such as GPS and weather data — has sparked waves of private sector innovation that made government data more useful to everyday citizens.

Also of note, as part of this initiative, the White House has released a new suite of open source software tools (on Github) that federal agencies (or private citizens) can employ to better organize and use the raw data.

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(Cross post on Patent Progress)

What a difference a year makes in Congress.  Last year, Reps. DeFazio (D-OR) and Chaffetz (R-UT) introduced the Saving High-tech Innovators from Egregious Legal Disputes (SHIELD) Act.  The bill generated some attention in the press, but never made it onto the campaign year legislative agenda.

Then we hit a tipping point of sorts.  It has been widely known that troll litigation is unsavory and inefficient, but many ardent defenders of the current patent system argued that patent trolls were a sideshow.  In 2005, trolls accounted for 23% of patent litigation.  Then, in December of last year, Santa Clara Law’s Prof. Colleen Chien released the results of her study showing that trolls accounted for 61% of patent lawsuits in 2012, which marked the first year that trolls accounted for more than half of all patent litigation.  The rhetorical rubicon had been crossed, which helped put the gears of Washington, DC in motion.

In December, the FTC and DOJ held a joint workshop on patent trolls, which marked the first time that our nation’s antitrust regulators took serious steps to examine the competition problem posed by patent assertion entities.  (Last April, I asked the former Assistant Attorney General for Antitrust, Sharis Pozen, about the DOJ’s stance on patent trolls and she said the agency was still internally thinking about how to handle trolls and had no comment beyond that [@ 39:10]).

Then this February the SHIELD Act was amended and reintroduced.  As some commenters have pointed out, the SHIELD Act is a small, but important tweak to get at some of the problems with trolls, but it does not go far enough on its own.  And, at the time of its introduction, it seemed like the SHIELD Act was as far as Congress was willing to go to help update our misfiring patent system, after having failed to agree on comprehensive reform in the America Invents Act.

However, the patent troll problem escalated to the Presidential level, with the President giving a well thought out response to a question on patent trolls in a Google Hangout he held in mid-February where he condemned the practice of trolling and discussed the need for more patent “balance” generally.

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One point is not a line.  Lots of points, well, that might just be a series of dots.  It could also be a trend, especially if the dots start beating you over the head, saying “pay attention to this development.”

When Netflix reported its quarterly earnings, it announced that the company had added over 2 million U.S. subscribers in the first quarter of 2013 to total 29.17 million.  To put this in perspective, HBO had 28.7 million U.S. subscribers at the end of 2012 (note: it is possible that HBO added more than half a million subscribers in the quarter, which would still keep it ahead of Netflix).

Whether HBO or Netflix holds a marginal lead in viewership is not as important as Netflix’s growth and future potential.  In fact, Netflix shares surged after the earnings call for this very reason.

One can argue about the short-term significance of this, but this is just one more data point in the growing trend towards a viable video content distribution industry that potently disaggregates traditional cable operators.

Some other facts of note:

  • Amazon, with its own Hollywood studio division, is launching its own original content in a very Silicon Valley way.  The company is releasing 14 new pilots (or should we call them beta content?) that will be available for its users to watch and rate.  Amazon will choose which shows to fund based on user feedback.  And these aren’t two-bit productions either, as they feature the likes of John Goodman, Bill Murray, Bebe Neuwirth, Stephen Colbert and Ed Begley Jr. to name a few of the actors.  Given Amazon’s penchant for disrupting industries, I wouldn’t bet against the company making a dent in the content industry.

Why is all this significant and why should we not listen to the big cable execs who are downplaying the significance of the cord-cutting revolution? MORE »

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(Cross-posted on Patent Progress)

Last Friday, CCIA filed its comments to the FTC/DOJ’s Public Workshop on Patent Assertion Entities (PAEs) (aka patent trolls).  Although antitrust authorities cannot fix all of the foundational problems in the patent system — such as the patent quality problem — they can certainly use their competition expertise and authority to help rein in some of the most egregious attempts to game the system to the detriment of both consumers and innovation.  Furthermore, the FTC and DOJ should continue their long tradition of excellent marketplace research that can be used as raw material to update competition law, as the patent system does not function in the stylized way that much of our patent law and antitrust jurisprudence contemplate.

Specifically, we stressed three particular areas that the FTC and DOJ should focus on in the short run.

  • FTC 6(b) Study – Much of patent troll activity occurs in the shadows, and it is often covered up by a maze of shell companies and non-disclosure agreements.  In order for antitrust regulators to figure out which business arrangements and relationships violate antitrust law, they need to have a more comprehensive picture of PAE relationships and practices.  Luckily, the FTC is armed with just the tool for this — a 6(b) study.  This allows the agencies to send out subpoena-like questionnaires to PAEs and their associates that they are compelled to respond to.

  • Ensure Commitments Travel With Patents – In order to provide marketplace certainty, technology companies make frequent commitments as to how they will or will not enforce their patents.  These commitments include the now infamous FRAND commitments, pledges not to “stack royalties,” pledges not to assert against open-source software, pledges to only use defensively, etc.  Companies make these pledges to induce the marketplace to adopt their technology.  If trolls acquire patents with previous commitments, and then revoke them, it amounts to an unfair method of competition (and antitrust violation if the market is “locked-in” to the technology in question).

  • Closely Monitor Patent Privateering – The relatively new phenomenon of patent privateering, where operating companies enlist trolls to attack their rivals for them, raises some potential antitrust questions.  The problems become even more acute when multiple competitors collaborate through a troll to bring lawsuits against mutual competitors.  The FTC and DOJ should closely monitor this activity and update their guidance — including the 1995 IP Licensing guidelines — with this behavior in mind.

For CCIA’s full comments click here and for a look at the entire FTC/DOJ public comments docket click here.

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Executives and shareholders don’t like competition.  For good reason.  It squeezes their margins, by making them compete more aggressively on price and innovation.  (Warren Buffett refers to the phenomenon of companies being shielded from competition as a “moat”, and it is one of the key criteria he looks for in his investments.)

However, for obvious reasons, society encourages competition.  Economic growth and innovation from the Roman empire through the Renaissance was impeded by rulers handing out monopolies like candy (and then taking a share of the excess profits, as selling favors was more palatable than trying to collect taxes), thus preventing competition and innovative new methods of providing the same service.

In fact, that very notion of entrenched, powerful interests harming competition, consumers and society was what motivated the United States (and then subsequent jurisdictions) to pass the first strands of modern antitrust law.  (To be fair to our northern neighbors, Canada passed its law in 1889, one year before the U.S. enacted the now famous Sherman Act.)

However, antitrust law can be subverted to prevent legitimate competition.  In that way, if used imprudently, antitrust can inflict the same harm that it was created to solve.

In discussing private antitrust lawsuits (the same is true of firms that use their legal and political resources to encourage governments to bring antitrust suits on their behalf), three notable economists pointed out:

Private firms will generally pursue antitrust actions when it is in the private firm’s interest, an interest that could easily diverge from the social interest. Firms may have incentive to use the antitrust laws strategically, which may hinder rather than promote competition.

Therefore, the job of an antitrust regulator is to sort out which antitrust complaints are legitimate (companies are victims of another’s abuse of market power to impede competition or innovation) versus illegitimate (companies are trying to get the government to slow down an aggressive competitor).

A recent series of Financial Times articles illustrates the latter case.  The first article [paywall] discusses TripAdvisor’s involvement in the campaign to get the European Union to bring a competition case against Google.  It also features the founder and CEO of TripAdvisor, Steve Kaufer, complaining about Google using its size and resources to compete with his company.  (He also curiously complains about Google “scraping” TripAdvisor’s content, which not only is perfectly legal if only snippets are displayed — in fact, this is practice makes the entire search industry possible — but also is a practice that Google has ceased for its review sites, and pledged not to do going forward in its settlement with the FTC.  This is doubly ironic seeing as TripAdvisor makes its money from aggregating and organizing other people’s content — reviews, booking info, pricing, etc. — which is the very same thing Google does, just on a smaller scale.)

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Walmart is no stranger to trying to do things more efficiently.  The secret of Walmart’s success has been its almost fanatical devotion to streamlining its supply chain and passing the cost savings on to consumers in the form of lower prices.

Now, the 60-year-old retailing giant is taking a page from Silicon Valley startups in its quest to further cut costs.  According to Reuters, Walmart is considering tapping into the sharing economy to streamline the delivery of products to customers who ordered online.

“I see a path to where this is crowd-sourced,” Joel Anderson, chief executive of Walmart.com in the United States, said in a recent interview with Reuters.

Wal-Mart has millions of customers visiting its stores each week. Some of these shoppers could tell the retailer where they live and sign up to drop off packages for online customers who live on their route back home, Anderson explained.

Wal-Mart would offer a discount on the customers’ shopping bill, effectively covering the cost of their gas in return for the delivery of packages, he added.

Utilizing customers to deliver packages to other Walmart customers who are on their way home is a win for all involved.  Walmart saves money, part-time delivery people cover the cost of gas for driving the same route they were going to anyway, and customers save a few bucks from their shipping costs.  The only losers in this situation: legacy shipping companies like FedEx and UPS.  Going forward, it will be interesting to watch how shipping incumbents respond to this business model innovation.  Maybe one of them will even pull an Avis (the rental car incumbent who purchased ZipCar as a hedge against disruption) and purchase a company like Zipments to make sure they don’t go the way of the dinosaurs — or Walmart’s retail competitors.

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(Cross Post on Patent Progress)

A few months ago, I pointed out that approximately ⅙ of all active patents (roughly 250,000) read on the smartphone.  If you estimate that each patent has 20 claims, that is 5 million potential restrictions on smartphone innovation.  With numbers that staggering, it is impossible for the patent system to function as intended.  Even the best due diligence can turn up only a fraction of these potential landmines.  Furthermore, innovators who actually produce novel, patent-worthy inventions lose out as their rights are diluted by the host of spurious patents in the same space.  This patent inflation only helps those that seek to game the underlying complexity of the system to make a quick buck or prevent new competition from challenging incumbents.

Now, a new report by industry analyst Chetan Sharma shows that roughly ¼ of U.S. patents issued this year are likely to be related to mobile technology (contrast this with roughly 10 percent of European patents).   As Ina Fried at AllThingsD said in her article, “[i]f you think the smartphone wars are winding down, think again.”  In fact, the parties are laying even more landmines.  And since there is no effective way to identify all the possible landmines, innovators will step on more of them.  Expect more collateral damage.

And if you think the major litigants in the smartphone wars are the primary victims of this patent explosion, think again.  Admittedly, these players are wasting considerable money and diverting engineering resources that could be used on actual innovation in fighting these needless patent wars.  The major tech companies can afford this expense, however – at least in the short run.  The real victims are the startups that can’t afford armies of patent lawyers from the get go.  If a VC has a choice between funding a smartphone or mobile-related company versus another company in a less patent-intensive field (or just declining to make an investment altogether), the increased risk of patent infringement in the mobile space is sure to tip the balance.

That isn’t to say that the explosion in the number of patents that pertains to the smartphone is surprising.  Smartphones are increasingly adding more functionality (mobile Internet, full software suites, digital photography, video conferencing, motion sensing, etc.).  As a result, the fields of patents that read on the smartphone are naturally increasing.  However, as the raw numbers reflect, the multifunctional smartphone is becoming the embodiment of all that is wrong in the underlying patent system.  As smartphones naturally evolve by incorporating new features, the mobile patent problem will only get worse unless something is done to change the underlying system.  For starters, raising the standards for patentability — and actually enforcing them — would go a long way towards making the patent system work better for real innovators.

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According to Clayton Christensen, the Harvard Business School professor who originated the concept of “disruptive innovation” and still remains the most-prolific researcher in the field, America’s current brand of capitalism is not finely tuned to produce the disruptive innovations our economy needs for economic and employment growth.

As Christensen argues in the Bloomberg interview featured above in this blog post, “the way financial leaders measure profitability, it appears like investing in innovation is not profitable.”

The gist of his argument: the tax code coupled with the prevailing financial “wisdom” incentivize short-term investments in sustaining and efficiency-enhancing innovation, but discourage long-term investments in empowering innovations that facilitate disruption and create new markets.  Unfortunately, empowering innovation is the most vital category of innovation for long-term core economic growth and job creation.

So, why is this important to the average American?  Well, in short, it helps partially explain the jobless recovery, as according to Christensen:

Disruptive innovations create almost all of the net jobs in the economy…

[Currently, most companies are] investing to make good products better or invest in innovations that make companies more efficient, and those things on average reduce jobs in the economy and don’t create growth.

In a well-functioning economy, sustaining innovations make existing products better and are useful for maintaining the current economic trajectory.  They do not create significant new growth.  Efficiency-enhancing innovations focus on making current goods, services or business models cheaper and more efficient.  Walmart is a classic example of this type of innovation.  The negative side of efficiency-enhancing innovations is that they actual result in job losses.  The good part of efficiency-enhancing innovations is that they are free of capital to be invested elsewhere — preferably in empowering innovations that contribute to future economic growth.

So, to recap, a well-functioning economy has a delicate balance of three types of innovation.  Empowering innovations create new markets and jobs, sustaining innovations make existing products and services better and sustain the current economic trajectory and efficiency-enhancing innovations free up capital from existing markets to reinvest in empowering innovations that promise to grow the economy and drive core economic growth.

Unfortunately, Christensen argues, we have not seen the correct balance of the three types of innovation — especially since the financial crisis and subsequent rebound, which has largely been propelled by productivity gains (aka efficiency-enhancing innovation).  According to Christensen, the financial and investment sectors have focused on efficiency-enhancing innovation because the gains are recognizable in the short-run and they produce the best results for financial managers focused on ratio-denominated measures of financial performance — notably Return on Net Assets (RONA), Internal Rate of Return (IRR), Earnings Per Share (EPS) and Gross Margin Percentage.

When ratios are used to measure profitability, there are two ways to improve growth.  Either grow the numerator (generate more income from current assets), or shrink the denominator (shrink pool of assets).  Because growing the numerator is more difficult in the short run, incentives encourage managers to shrink the denominator and outsource assets.  This is good for profitability in the short term, but disastrous for long-term innovation and growth.  Unfortunately, according to Christensen, this creates a positive feedback loop that makes efficiency-enhancing innovations appear more profitable than investing in disruption:

As [capital managers] invest in efficiency innovations they create or emancipate more and more capital, but then what they do is invest it in continued investments in efficiency innovation, so we are just awash in capital.  The cost of capital is zero, yet they continue to measure profitability in measures that just aren’t relevant anymore.

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Yesterday, Samsung’s Galaxy S4 launched in an elaborate presentation at New York’s Radio City Music Hall.  What caught my eye the most was the inclusion of new sensors, that allow the phone to collect more data about the user and her outside environment — enabling a new wave of developer and app innovation.  Aside from the already standard accelerometer, RGB light, digital compass, proximity, gyroscope and barometer, the Galaxy S4 introduced 3 new sensors: temperature, humidity and IR Gesture.

In today’s world of decentralized software development (think: app ecosystem), perhaps the most important thing a device manufacturer can do is build in new hardware features of this nature.  Even if the device won’t ship at launch with a full suite of programs taking advantage of these new sensors, allowing application developers access to real time temperature and humidity information, or hand and finger gestures, can inspire a whole new wave of app innovation.

After all, most of the functionality of a smartphone is lines of code wrapped around data inputs that the device takes in, whether that is voice commands, time, GPS location data, or Samsung’s new eye-reading functionality that lets the users scroll with their eyes (just a new use of a previous generation’s feature — the front facing camera).

If a team of researchers can figure out a way to monitor your heart rate remotely using a smartphone’s camera, who knows what a huge ecosystem of app developers can build with temperature and humidity information and the ability to sense gestures.

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A consistent theme here at DisCo is government getting in the way of new business models or disruptive market entrants.  Because disruptive competitors do things differently — and usually more efficiently — than incumbents, government regulators often have a difficult time understanding how new types of businesses fit in old silos of regulation.  Even worse, the old entrenched businesses frequently lean on their political connections and get the government to come up with some justification for shutting down the new competitors or, at the very least, harming their competitive advantages.  Whether it is local governments passing ordinances designed to undercut the business model of food trucks at the behest of local restaurant associations, state governments saddling Internet startups with huge licensing fees just for facilitating transactions, or the FDA taking 8 months to approve a toothbrush that plays music, the story is the same across all levels of government.

Uber — the dynamic startup that has used a mobile application to revolutionize local transportation service — has become a poster child of an innovative company being targeted by anti-disruption incumbent lobbying.  Local taxi associations have filed ridiculous lawsuits and ginned up local officials to hit the company with regulatory actions harming its ability to do business in well over a dozen municipalities.  Not surprisingly, the Colorado Public Utilities Commission (CPUC) recently followed suit and proposed a series of regulations designed to prevent Uber from being an effective competitor.  Furthermore, like actions in other cities, these regulations were offered under the guise of protecting consumers (because saying you are protecting powerful political interests at the expense of the public is politically unattractive).  These proposed “consumer protection” regulations included mandating that limousines offer only a specific up-front fixed price (making Uber’s variable demand-based pricing illegal), requiring all services that advertise or offer transportation service to be regulated as an actual transportation company (Uber has no cars, it simply connects limo/taxi drivers with customers via a mobile app), and preventing limousines and non-cab car services from stationing within 200 feet of a hotel, motel, restaurant, bar, taxi stand or airport passenger pickup location.  Things did not look good for the company in Colorado.

However, in a little-reported action last Thursday, another government agency stepped in — on behalf of the disruptive entrant (and, more importantly, consumers).  The U.S. Federal Trade Commission (FTC), which wears a dual hat as both a competition regulator and a consumer protection agency, filed a great comment in support of Uber.  Not only was the brief targeted at the proposed Colorado regulations, but it offered a universal maxim that all regulators seeking to impose restrictions on a new company or business model should take to heart:

In evaluating claims that the practices to be prohibited impose a genuine threat to consumer welfare, we recommend that the CPUC be guided by the principle that any restriction to competition designed to address such potential harm should be narrowly crafted to minimize its anticompetitive impact.

The FTC further articulated the principle later in the letter:

In general competition should only be restricted when necessary to achieve some countervailing procompetitive virtue or other public benefit such as protecting the public from significant harm.

Amen.

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